Warning

Warning: This site contains images and graphic descriptions of extreme violence and/or its effects. It's not as bad as it could be, but is meant to be shocking. Readers should be 18+ or a mature 17 or so. There is also some foul language occasionally, and potential for general upsetting of comforting conventional wisdom. Please view with discretion.
Showing posts with label Deraa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Deraa. Show all posts

Friday, September 13, 2019

"Mr. Pesticide" Part 1: Scuttling Peace

Gen. Asaad Al-Zoubi "Mr. Pesticide"
Part one of four: The Saudis' Man for Scuttling Peace
September 18, 2019
edits Sept. 20, 21

Note: this is a decent-size part of a huge bottlenecked and delayed project I'll do in four parts, with parts 2 and 3 expected to fall in place quicker, and part 4 a bit later. There was a lot of related details I didn't know and had to do lookups, ranging from quick to fairly deep, and wanted to relate most of it in one place. Or. I was thinking two, but the first one had to be split, and in three works best. All-told, I'll explain: the Saudis' Man for scuttling peace, peddling lies, and promoting genocide.

General Asaad Al-Zoubi ( أسعد الزعبي ), born 1956, has a long history in the Syrian military from the 1970s, reaching the rank brigadier-general before he defected to the opposition side during the current conflict. It was reportedly in mid-2012, but a bit unclear, when he fled Syria and joined the opposition SNC and FSA, where he was given the rank of general. As of 2019 he holds a leadership position with US-backed, Jordan-based Southern Front, a coalition with both Islamist and secular units, allied with - but not including - Ahrar al-Sham, Jaysh al-Islam, and al-Qaeda offshoot Jabhat al-Nusra ("sometimes"). The southern Front promises to not be defined by its Islamist tendencies, and is vocally and/or militarily opposed of ISIS (Islamic State, ISIL, Daesh), and sometimes opposed to al-Nusra. (Wikipedia) His lack of a beard might suggest he's no Saudi-style Islamist. But with the mustache and leather jacket, he looks to me more like a Turkish Islamist, which he seems to act like. (Photo source: Geneva, Switzerland, April 19, 2016. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse)

Al-Zoubi was born in Daraa province, where his clan is large and prominent (FWIW the family name translates "doubtful"). It's spawned a previous prime minister of Syria, and their current information minister, besides this SNC-FSA sellout. The Daraa Zoubis were targeted early on in the uprising. In one case, a reported 16 of that name, aged 17-75, were the largest sector among 52 men and boys killed in a late-April, 2011 "Saida massacre." One of them was the famous 12-year-old Hamza al-Khatib. The lodged story of that event has been thoroughly disproven, by the way. (See my 2016 report - and the eldest Al-Zoubi got to be the first entry in the “Caesar photos” file.) Asaad al-Zoubi may have bought into the claims of a massacre of his kin at Saida, but it took a while before he defected sometime the following year. It's not clear what he did for the next 3+ years prior to January, 2016, when he was chosen for an important job.

Defected Syrian prime minister Riad Hijab was selected in December 2015 to head the Supreme Negotiations Committee (aka High/Higher Negotiations Committee, hereafter HNC) being formed in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Wikipedia) This was to be a broadest-yet umbrella of opposition groups, ranging from moderate Islamist to extremist, but excluding designated terrorist groups, including some ostensible secular voices, at least one prominent Christian, and even a Kurdish contingent was involved, briefly. The HNC was given the power to select the opposition delegates for the upcoming peace-oriented, talk-related process called Geneva III, or the 3rd Geneva conference on "the future of Syria." Hijab selected Gen. Al-Zoubi as the "head of delegation" for the HNC but had him working with two others:

* "chief negotiator" on the team: Mohammed Alloush, acting political leader of the extremist, sectarian terrorist group Jaish al-Islam, and a relative of genocide-minded JaI founder Zahran (or Mohammed Zahran?) Alloush. Zahran's father was a salafist cleric long-ago exiled to Saudi Arabia for criminal extremism. Riyadh sent strong support to his son's JaI in Douma, so by 2016 they were holding half the Damascus suburbs hostage and  able to hit the capitol on command, besides fielding franchises throughout Syria. So Mohammed Alloush was a natural choice to head up some tough "negotiations." His marketing-heavy education and fairly polished style (well-trimmed beard, etc.) were definite recommending features as well. (some prior work on JaI bringing Hell to E. Ghouta while sending Alloush to Geneva.)

* The “we're not Islamists” guy on the team: George Sabra, an anti-Assad CHRISTIAN! apologist for terrorism and total puppet (NCSROF until 2018 anyway). He's also a writer for the Arabic version of Sesame Street, so he gets how muppets and puppets have their words written for them. (Wikipedia)

Image: HNC tweet "Head of the negotiating team Asaad Al-Zoubi and chief negotiator Mohammed Alloush arrive in #Geneva for #SyriaTalks March 2016" Sabra was off-frame somewhere, perhaps making them grilled cheeses sandwiches.

Syria, Russia, Iran, and Egypt opposed the HNC's decision to have members of terrorist groups (by their formal, legal definitions) have a leading say in "the future of Syria." They referred to Alloush's Jaish Al-Islam and to Ahrar Al-Sham, who also had at least one member involved. (Al-Masdar News) But that formula was forced through, causing visible problems from the start.

Before January was out, U.N. special envoy Staffan De Mistura complained the HNC was trying to make itself "THE opposition delegation" - a position supported by the U.S. Obama administration. As the same Al-Masdar article put it: "According to UN special envoy, Staffan de Mistura, Saudi Arabia is attempting to complicate his efforts to find a diplomatic solution to the war in Syria." In context, they were using the HNC as a tool to that end, and Gen. al-Zoubi was picked as one of its trusted operators. As De Mistura said, the core issue involved the HNC's "seriousness about the process," which was needed to "give a meaning to a peace conference.” This is the bouncing ball to follow in the following paragraphs.

It seems there was a lot of pre-dialog before any meetings in Geneva began in March. At the start of February, Reuters reported, “Bashar al-Jaafari, head of the government delegation, said on Sunday Damascus was considering options such as ceasefires, humanitarian corridors and prisoner releases ... as a result of the talks, not as a condition to begin them." But "the opposition High Negotiations Committee indicated it would leave Geneva unless peace moves were implemented (first)." Likelihood of progress: minimal. Still, an early ceasefire was agreed to by the U.S. and Russia in late February. It was the first one ever agreed on such a scale, per a Wikipedia article on them that fails to even mention the HNC. This ceasefire held with “hiccups” and fragility, through July, by most accounts, with both sides blaming each other for the all the failures.

With first meetings in Geneva planned for March 12, a March 10 Reuters report has Al-Zoubi threatening to pull the HNC out at the last moment because of “massacres” and a "conspiracy." "The head of the Syrian opposition's negotiating team said on Thursday it was not optimistic about peace talks getting under way in Geneva, and has still not confirmed if it will attend the U.N.-backed negotiations." Al-Zoubi is cited as telling Al Arabiya and/or al Hadath TV (both Saudi-run) "There is no optimism ... there is an international conspiracy and a cover-up of Russian massacres and a cover-up for (president) Bashar."

On March 12, however, they did arrive in Geneva, ready to blame the other side from a closer distance. (HNC tweet)

Add Sept. 21: A Reuters report of 6 April said "the al Qaeda-linked Nusra Front … last week attacked and captured" the town of Telat al-Eis south of Aleppo, killing 11 Hezbollah fighters and 43 Syrian soldiers in the process, then "shot down a Syrian warplane on Tuesday (the 5th) and captured its pilot." This triggered, on the 6th, "intense air strikes in the southern Aleppo area," described as "the fiercest government assault in the area since an agreement to ease the fighting came into effect in February." The HNC's al-Zoubi was quoted on this story: he "told Reuters the truce was “in danger of ending” due to government violations." He referred to the February deal he apparently had nothing to do with, and seems to mean these new strikes against the designated terrorists of al-Nusra Front, who were never party to the ceasefire (although some covered "moderate" forces were working with Nusra and coming under attack). More on this issue in part 3.

By April 13, the HNC had lost its Kurdish portion (see part 2), and talks at Geneva had reached a likely related “deadlock,” and taken a recess (time frame unclear). Thing were just resuming when al-Zoubi declared, as a DW.com article puts it: "President Bashar al-Assad is the problem and Syria can only start to heal once he's gone." Or as an AP report translated his day's comments, Al-Zoubi said president Assad is a "disease" and Russia is "not serious" about the obvious cure of removal from power, the only hope for Syria's future. (Associated Press)

Syria's Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal Mekdad said a transitional government as proposed amounts to a coup d'etat and "will never be accepted". He noted how most of the world except Saudi Arabia and Turkey have given up on pushing for Assad's removal. Mekdad explained "if we have to proceed" with talks, "then we need to forget or we need others to forget the dreams they had for the last five years." (Belfast Telegraph) But Zoubi knew it was destiny, not a dream. Parliamentary elections in Syria began at the same time, but he said, also on the 13th, “These elections do not mean anything.” Because they don't require Assad to step down, they were "theater for the sake of procrastination" – that is, putting off the inevitable. (Reuters) Basis for expecting progress: slim.

Two days later, Zoubi used fresh alleged attacks on Aleppo to declare “the regime ... sends a strong message that it doesn’t want a political solution, but a military solution that will bring destruction to the whole country.” He added that same-day administrative moves showed Damascus was “not serious about the political solution” and “divorced from reality.” (Reuters 15 April). Back in reality, 17 April, "Syrian President Bashar al-Assad will remain in power for just four months longer, until a transitional government takes control of the war-torn country" according to HNC's Mohammed Alloush. The form of it wasn't agreed yet; "another HNC source" (al-Zoubi?) outlined a proposal for a new government they recently heard, but rejected: "Effectively, Assad would stay in a ceremonial position. But we categorically rejected the proposal," the source added. (The New Arab - 17 April) They're way too 'in touch with reality' to settle for that. A "disease" has to be wiped out, not compromised with or left as a figurehead. They preferred the deal they had (?) where Assad would be out of power in four months time.

Also on 17 April, al-Zoubi paused his confident peace-talking and transition plans to send out word to the fighters: “We will not stay for long negotiating.. .In the event a missile targets them (rebels), they have to retaliate with ten missiles,” … rebels “must gain control of as many areas as possible, they must take advantage of the ceasefire as the regime has done”. (Reuters)

It must be noted, and here seems good: it's not always clear even now what exactly the “criminal Assad regime” has really done as opposed to just been accused of. We can suppose the Syrian military were killing and weakening the militants, and perhaps this alone was cause to demand a halt to attacks. But it's the alleged criminal targeting of homes and hospitals, etc. that's put forth as the reason. These allegations are never proven, usually dubious, and often disproven (a good example in a moment...) On the basis of  crimes that might be entirely fictional, the “transitional government” could only exclude the current government ("Assad or any ruling group"). (Sputnik News)

So the terrorist-linked panel insisted on the regime's agreeing to suicide, basically, while green-lighting militant attacks on government-held areas and civilians. Then on April 21 when the government still insisted on fighting instead, and was still getting blamed for atrocities, the HNC really promised to walk out, calling talk pointless until the military situation changed - but NOT in the government's favor. (Reuters)

Six days later (27 April) came an allegation they didn't comment on (that I saw) but a great example of the kind: Al-Quds Hospital in Aleppo, allegedly bombed by Assad forces, killing 55 civilians. But the hospital was clearly not “reduced to rubble” as reported by MSF, and almost certainly not hit from the air at all (no damage to the roof or any external wall). Some internal explosions are seen, but these are provable from 4+ distinct bombs placed in different spots and triggered simultaneously to mimic an airstrike – an inside job. It did injure and kill some people, mainly in the emergency room (number there unclear, but 55 dead seems strangely extreme). And the most famous death of the “last pediatrician in Aleppo” Dr. Maaz likely didn't happen. Some clues suggest he coordinated the inside job, and a shady video edit might cover him leaving the ER prior to the blast there he might know just how to avoid. THIS is the kind of fake crimes people like Al-Zoubi eagerly pass on as true, never wanting to ask questions, perhaps knowing how fragile the illusions really are.

But it took that, everything before, and another month's worth of allegations before finally, on 29 May, the HNC started delivering on its promises. Chief negotiator Mohammed Allosuh resigned that post over the lack of progress in removing Assad or halting the allegations against him. About four months he pouted and threatened to run away from Geneva and the HNC before he finally did. Meanwhile, as DW reported, “the head of the main Syrian opposition delegation Asaad al-Zoubi also told the Saudi al Hadath TV channel that he too wanted to be relieved of his post, but did not confirm he had taken a similar step."(DW) Al-Zoubi was still called the leader of the HNC in articles as late as October 8, 2016. (Reuters) But the HNC delegation was led by a Naser al-Hariri when it participated in the new Geneva peace talks that commenced in February, 2017. (Wikipedia – HNC)

I didn't dig much past that, but it apparently didn't go well at Geneva IV in 2017 either. In February, the HNC rejected moves by the UN's Staffan de Mistura to re-exert control over delegate selection for the talks, and insisted the Kurdish PYD could not sit under its umbrella. (as they had non-Islamist George Sabra explain: "should the (PYD) want to take part, it has to do so on the regime side.”) (Rudaw) By mid-November, the HNC still existed when its founder, Riad Hijab, was among a dozen opposition figures who "resigned, apparently in protest of others being too willing to accept the continued rule of a man (Assad) they view as a discredited tyrant." (Sarah El Deeb and Philip Issa, Associated Press, 22 Nov.)

Who were these other people worth resigning over? They sound more correct. It could better be said the tyrants in Turkey and Saudi Arabia were discredited by Syria's continued defiance. In fact the tyrants were starting to acknowledge it themselves, even as some more zealous agents held out; the same AP article explains “Aides told local papers that Hijab, in his resignation Monday, was protesting Saudi Arabia giving up on calls for Assad to step down. Media reports suggested Saudi Arabia didn't invite HNC to the 2017 Riyadh meeting." A lack of invitation sounds like a lack of favor. In fact, Hijab's Wikipedia entry states “in 2017 he resigned as head of the (HNC) group following Saudi pressure.” (Wikipedia – Hijab)

It seems the HNC was dissolved after this, dropping off the radar. Nothing past 2017 is mentioned in the relevant Wikipedia entry. Even the visionary Saudis were "out of touch with reality" so the HNC's people retreated to their shrinking kingdom of truth. It might take longer than those four months, but the diehards seemed to maintain faith in the inevitable forced end of Assad's rule, even if the whole world procrastinated over it.

The approach taken by the High Negotiations Committee was never likely to advance a peaceful settlement. But they took that approach anyway, maybe because they planned to fail and blame the other side. It could be said - as Staffan De Mistura suspected early on - that they were never serious about the peace process. Instead, it seems they were engaged in an unstated and criminal process to pursue the Saudis' preferred military non-solution.

Since outright regime change was becoming unlikelier by 2016, it seems they adopted a policy of regime-bleed; delay the inevitable resolution so Syria can remain embattled, demonized, sanctioned and suffering until its will was broken, or as weakened and wounded as possible. The end goal isn't clear to me - perhaps as simple as having one less or one weaker ally for Iran in some big war against them planned down the road. Most likely it's a cluster of reasons mostly related to that regional struggle, including competing oil pipeline schemes and the like. But there can hardly be a morally straight reason for this kind of deceitful and murderous policy.

---
On to part 2

Thursday, June 23, 2016

The Saida Massacre's Green Torso Torture

The Saida Massacre's Green Torso Torture
May 5, 2016
(incomplete)
last edits (major) June 23

Warning: unusually graphic and possibly disgusting pictures here. Sorry, that's where the science is.

One of the pivotal events of the early uprising was on April 29, 2011 - the Friday "protest" to "break the siege" of Deraa, which was ambushed out of nowhere at the military housing complex in Saida. Its said many were shot and perhaps "hundreds" were arrested, with some 20-51 allegedly taken by military intelligence, tortured, killed, and handed back to their families as a warning. 

By far the most famous of these was 13-year-old Hamza Al-Khatib, whose story I'm reconsidering along with the events of the day they say he was arrested, over HERE (a bit later summarized in a PDF report: The Killing of Syrian Child Hamza Al-Khatib: Five years after the event, ...what was the event? - available here) But he wasn't the only one. The collective death toll seems to be around 50 at least (still tallying and comparing sources - see table of victims at ACLOS, ), with at least 30 28 allegedly arrested by security forces before they died. 

Although activists claim half or more of this killing was done in secret detention weeks later, the whole mass of death is branded as a singular Saida massacre. This might be more accurate than they let on. My working theory is all these people were killed and tortured/mutilated on April 29, during the "protest" - they were in this sad state before the government ever had a chance to "arrest" their unidentified bodies following the clashes.  

In support of this, I've found all victims that are visible after their hand-back (nine total, so far) display advanced decay. It seems like only some day's worth in the elements, but it also seems to be refrigerator decay, different, slower,  and running probably  exactly the whole time since April 29. 

In most cases, the opposition's activists are clear the victims were held for a while, made to suffer, and killed only at the end, shortly before the bodies were returned. So in that widely-accepted narrative, the stuff that looks like decay must be some kind of recent and bizarre abuse. There are a few manifestations of it, but the main element is what they would have to call the green torso torture. It could look like some kind of decay of the fluids inside the body, especially near the site of an injury. But it' implicitly, to them, a torture that remains totally unexplained. Also, as explained below, the further out from April 29. the more vicious they got with it. 

Note 6/23: As the just-revised report explains (starting with a tip in a comment below), this has less to do with injuries than intestinal bacteria. Upon death they go rogue and begin putrefaction, leaving this green color -  it starts in the lower abdomen and spreads over the body from there, usually within a few days, but much slower with refrigeration. ---

First, one body returned same-day (April 29), at least 5 on May 16, and none in between. None of these early returns has video or visuals to consider.  Of those that do, let's start with the two youngest victims, who have the honor of "Caesar" leaking their morgue photos for comparison, in order of return.

Hamza Ali Al-Khatib, 13. VDC notes: "...his body was giving to his family in 24/5/2011, The body shows excessive torture marks and several shot wounds, the also cut off his genitals."  
May video, (bottom frames) decay morgue photos, (upper left) - body #23 (in Eastern Arabic numerals)
25 days since 29 April (or perhaps 22 days - The official story has order to return signed 21-5.)

Injuries: general beating, 3 shots - 1 in chest, 2 through the arms and into the sides - maybe facial injury (bridge of nose) - castration/penis severed credibly reported (but officially denied) - seems scrotum cut open, penis not seen (covered here, finally, on noticing what that was - decay might suggest it was done before, not after hand-over - but that's contested by 3 days...). Dark face in upper left is dirt/blood/unclear. Later washed off, and dark from decay instead.

Decay: Bullet hole in chest (white circle) was red, turns black, is called a burn - green patches (circled in green, not present just after death): between chest wound and right shoulder, lower abdomen and groin. Upper green at least not there in upper left. Face darkening, maybe a bit green. Likely mild bloating (chest and chin seem closer together later) "Abu Hamza Al-Doumani" tries to explain Hamza's weight gain and/or blaoting as fluid torture - 10-12 liters poured in his mouth, making his body swell.This is ridiculous, and doesn't explain the green patches.

Thamer Mohammed Al-Sharei, 15
VDC notes: returned to the town in 6/8/2011 in a wooden box with distorted body, and organs 
video, morgue photos,
body #12 (in both Eastern and Western Arabic numerals)
40 days since 29/4
Injuries: shot in the left knee, right arm, larger hip wound, said genitals bludgeoned, cheek torn wide open and teeth smashed out, at least
Decay: feet very yellow, upper torso pretty deep green, face and hip wound dark brown (video, low resolution, right). At the time of the morgue photo (left), color seems natural, freshly dead. Again, the green stuff is time-release, or what?

In both cases, the compared images are clear some days at least passed in between. Or, those who insist ... if they got the time-delayed green stuff into Hamza, why not get even more into the kid they held onto and tortured for longer? Right? And maybe it's the same story with these others, where we only have the later image. They could have been green even in their morgue photos, for all we know. Precedent says otherwise, but ...

We can see at least 7 8 others allow for a solid sampling ... in order of reported handing back, 19 May up to 4 July.Numbered, in order of handover:


1) Mohammad Hasan al-Zubi, age 70. From Msaifra, married w/10 ch, National Number خ9 Notes: "A martyr from the Sayda massacre, he was injured in the neck by a bullet during a demonstration on 4/29/2011 and was detained and tortured, his mutilated corpse was returned on 5/19/2011." cause of death: shooting (seems to be incorrect - this classes as D-T by their usual norms)
  
Video title: Cham - Horan - Al-Musayfirah - Martyr Mohammed Al Zoubi 19-5 (May 19)
20 days since 29-4
video
body #28 (Eastern Arabic numerals)
Injuries: left eye seems gouged-out (covered) - mouth smashed, slices and other abuse to the legs and maybe groin, at least (bottom, left thigh down to the knee).  
Decay: minimal - much is pink/livid, but greenish patches on torso, eyes and face barely starting to darken - would look worse in 5 days or so. 

2) Husam Ahmad Taha al-Zubi 17
3rd youngest of 20 tortured detainees, per Amnesty. VDC notes: "One of the martyrs in Saida massacre where he was shot on 29-4-2011 and the bullet entered from his waist and was out from his shoulder. He was arrested and his body was handed over on 05.21.2011.

22 days since 29-4
video  
Body #10 in W. Arabic?  (not very clear)
Injuries: an entry wound on right side, exit at left shoulder, possibly unclear skull damage too.
Decay: green color all through torso, in the neck, and especially the lower belly opposite from the entry wound. Related wound: unclear  possibly groin.

3) Mahmoud Ahmad Abdulrahman (al-Zoubi), 73: Amnesty report: he was in a van with 20 others, tried to run, was arrested. VDC notes: from Mseifra, Saida Massacre... his body was delivered on 23-5-2011 - National Number خ121 . Video title: Tortured martyr Mahmoud Abdulrahman Al Zoubi of Al-Musayfirah 23/5/2011
24 days sine 29-4
video
body #apparently 7, later overwritten with handover date (explained here).
Injuries: shots/holes in right knee, serious left hand abrasion, general marks, small cuts or stabs in top of head, possibly fatal. As translated, his supposedly official death explanation was heart attack caused by torture and stress. This makes sense, and suggests he at least was tortured, not mutilated post-death.
Decay: minimal sign - torso is a bit gray/neutral, but not healthy - pink is being overtaken by green - would look worse in 5 days.

4) Hamza (see above) 

5) Sameer Abd al-Qadr al-Zu'bi (added June 23), age 39, married with 6 children, from Msaifra, Saida massacre ... his body was handed over on 24-5-2011.
Like Hamza, this is 25 days after the alleged arrest.
Video (Daily Motion)
body # - none seen
Injuries: hole in upper chest/shoulder, with flap of skin, nasty puncture through right hand, at least.
Decay:  unusually minimal, like Mahmoud but even pinker. After 24 days he has only (that I could make out) a moderate gray-green shift in the torso (right frame, rotated), and slightly darkened wounds (middle). He's also quite thin, possibly starved, or otherwise, and might be a counter-point to Hamza - less intestinal bacteria to start with. Otherwise, this is a bit of a challenge to the main picture where the decay gets consistently worse over time.

6) Mohammad Husain Shihada al-Zubi, 39 from Msaifra, Married with 5 children, degree in Sharia law, his body was handed over on 26-5-2011.

27 days 
video
body #4 in Western Arabic
Decay: green color all through torso, at shoulder, worse in lower abdomen, in legs, no other serious marks - wounds may be in the groin and on the back - possible slight bloating - face slightly dark

National Number خ102 Married with 4 children, from Msaifra, Employee of the Department of Water. his body was handed over on 26-5-2011 - date of death: 5-21
27 days
video video
no body number seen
Injuries: major abuse to and huge hole poked in back, green suggests lower torso or groin injury in the front torso, small (bullet?) hole in lower throat,  at least.
Decay: green color and bad texture near wounds, noted by examiner in video - stiffness of deeply chilled, almost frozen tissue, is not noted. The decay would move much slower than estimated, and the time since death would be much longer.


8) Nazer Jabr (Mohammed? al-Zoubi? Or just Jabr?) from Msaifra, returned June 7. No further notes. 

39 days since alleged arrest.
video with frames at right.
body #22 (E. Arabic)
Injuries: unclear - apparently in the abdomen and the neck at least
Decay: massively green torso, dark infected veins, strange patch of yellow in the center - gray-green decay in neck

9) Thamer (see above)
10) Mohamad Al-Elewi Al-Kalash from Maaraba. Date 2011-07-04
65 days since 29-4
video
body #27
Injuries: cut to neck, same-sized cut to chest, eye(s) missing?
Decay: Advanced. Body is darkening, green yielding to brown-black, face is already black.


In all cases, to some degree, these 10 victims display the green torture, especially at the site of known wounds - not the usual kind with darker black germs prevailing, and with bloating, or maggots for that matter. Apparently the cold keeps those digestive tract germs, or their gas-production, suppressed, while  these others manage to carry on their green-tinted work, slowly but surely. 

Or  ... seriously, is there anyone who can look at this and still push for the activist story/implication here?

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Re-Considering Hamza al-Khatib and the Events of April 29, 2011

Re-Considering Hamza al-Khatib
and the Events of April 29, 2011
April 29, 2016
(incomplete)
(last edits June 22)

Update May 25: Today marks five years - most people have heard - since the death of child martyr Hamza Al-Khatib. His dead body was handed over to his family on May 24, but his gravestone, most articles, the Wikipedia article so far, etc. are all clear he died the next day, exactly when the news broke (and exactly a year before the Houla Massacre, for what it's worth - some people seem to think that's worth something).

To mark this strange alleged death date, I released an 18-page report summarizing my findings so far: 5 years after the event ... what was the event? That's available here (revised draft added June 22).

Below is the big but browse-able article meant to summarize the case. It's behind at the moment but likely to catch up and expand past the report.  

Today (April 29) marks five years - I suspect - since the death of child martyr Hamza al-Khatib. His supposed killing under torture by Syrian military intelligence ("Mukhabarat") sparked widespread condemnation of the Syrian government when it first made the news in late May, 2011. I had never looked closely at this case, but was recently spurred to, and started the page April 29, 2011 in Deraa at A Closer Look On Syria.

That will expand, but what I've gathered so far is sufficient for this post on some issues of contention: the victim's age, the castration/mutilation claims, and especially death time and length of detention - he was likely never arrested at all. And finally, we'll assess the conflicting narratives and evidence for what happened on April 29, 2011 - which the opposition has termed the "Saida Massacre." It's said this is when he was arrested, but I think it's when he was murdered, along with many others.

Five-year re-visitations of the story will be in late May, which is taken as his death date (most cite 25 May, one day after his body was handed over to this family!) so this marking of the true anniversary of his death puts the reader weeks ahead in terms of a counter-argument (so be sure to bookmark this).

To meet the obscure anniversary, I'm posting this incomplete, and will be adding to it.  As it stands, it's too long and wordy, but I'm too tired to finish slimming it down. Some parts left undone for now, etc.

Basics
Ham'za's Ali Al-Khatib  (Arabic: حمزة علي الخطيب ) was reportedly aged 13, from Deraa province, in the town of Jizah (Jeezah on Wikimapia). That's a bit southeast of Deraa city (alt. Dara'a, etc.), the site of some of the earliest violence of the uprising. The surrounding countryside was even harder hit starting this early.

Hamza's father, Ali Al-Khatib, is said to be aged 60, with Hamza being the youngest of his 20 children from his two wives. This often means the family was prosperous (or would be, etc.), and as such would likely be approached to support the uprising with money and sons. Voluntarily or not, it seems they wound up giving Hamza at least.

Opposition sources say Hamza was first arrested on Friday, April 29, 2011 when he joined "peaceful marches towards the city (of Deraa) in a symbolic attempt to break the blockade" said to be imposed there (Amnesty International report); the theme of that Friday's protests was "break the blockade." According to activists but with no proof, the hundreds of protesters came under unprovoked fire along the way, several were shot dead, and Hamza and perhaps hundreds of others were arrested by security forces, some 20-51 fatally arrested by the Mukhabarat. Among those, Hamza and at least two others were what we would class as children - Thamer Al-Sharei, age 15, and Hussam Al-Zoubi, age 17.

The bodies of Hamza and others were delivered to their families by the government weeks later in brutalized form. Hamza alone made the news as the youngest victim. On May 24 or 25, video surfaced on the Internet of  the darkened, swollen body of the 13-year-old after it was returned to his family, reportedly on the 24th (rotated screen-grab at right). As they said, he bore signs of "torture" from his month-long detention, and had his penis hacked off by his regime captors. That would be some unforgettable, unforgivable crime.

This is ultra-famous footage, seen by millions, who expressed brain-dead shock and poorly-directed rage and indignation. Syrian protesters and their supporters used his image heavily to underline their case why "Assad must go." Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was typical in calling Hamza's murder a "turning point" - when simple protests were repressed with the torture and castration of harmless, pudgy 13-year-olds, of course the people would have to fight instead. People helped the rebels get better at fighting, more areas were "liberated" but started suffering daily deaths and weekly massacres, and here we are five years into that, and probably past half a million people killed, including tens of thousands of children, and a nation in tatters, pouring refugees. 

No one really asked any questions about the reported story, or hinted there might even be a reason to do so. But here are my top questions to start, and my best answers so far.

Age - A Man in His Twenties? 13? 12? Other?
I had previously decided the dead Hamza was adult-sized and well over 13 years-old. Looking closer, I can only say it's a little ambiguous. The best views (morgue photos, see below) show he seems to lack body hair which points to 13 or even younger, or older with slow puberty. But he also seems pretty large, in weight and stature, likely a bit older and two bits heavier than in the circulated portrait photo.

I was originally slanted in my thinking by trusting the coroner, Dr. Akram al-Shaar, as widely reported; by this, he saw "a plump young man in his twenties." This is taken as conflicting badly with the usually claimed 13, and so was embraced by some supporters of Syria's government and derided by the other side. The Atlantic Wire's article was titled "On Syrian State TV Hamza Ali Al-Khateeb Is No 'Child Martyr,'" This cited "in his twenties" along with other points of their version of events, in a mildly dismissive way. But to its credit, the Wire noted a comment pointing out the original Arabic better translates "in his second decade." That means between 10 and 20, or vaguely just a teenager. (cited SANA report, dead link) Thus, by the end the leading point of the article was moot. It remains a decent read.

In fact ... this video of Al-Shaar's presentation (English captions via CC) specifies "second decade," "the teenager Hamza," and notes his lack of body hair, all suggesting something like 13. (also "plump" is put as "too fat," or maybe should be "overweight.") So there seems little to no conflict after all on age. But hardly anyone has noticed that; critics of the opposition narrative might remain fixated on this being a man aged 20+, a different Hamza than presented or an imposter, and those on the other side might continue to roll their eyes at that nonsense. But in fact, "second decade" seems like the best shorthand, and the "regime" doctor has more credibility that some thought. He might need that (see below).
It seems such a famous person as Hamza al-Khatib should have a tragically recent birth date shared somewhere to specify his age. The Wikipedia page for Hamza and his death currently gives a birth date of October 24, 1997. That would be 5 months shy of turning 14, but that's under challenge by me on the talk page there. It's not cited, and I can't find a source that agrees - just one that disagrees.

Beneath Zaman al-Wasl's posting of the morgue photos, there's a painted gravestone with readable dates (image link, crop at right). Even this may not be trustworthy, despite being painted in what appears to be cemetery. But that seems to be his name in green, and below it says his birth date, or first date anyway is 1998/5/6, or May 6, 1998. By this, he was only 12 years old on April 29, and might well have died before reaching 13, or been killed on his birthday or after, depending. (apparent death date below - 2011/5/25 must be wrong or mean burial date - see below)
May 25: ACLOS translator confirms this says he was martyred ( استشهد ), not buried, on May 25. See section for all related translations.

Why be so certain he was 13? I Don't know. What was the Jihadists' fatwa-based age limit at the time for boy (off-limits) vs man (okay to kill)? Was it 13? If so, that might be a clue as to why they say he had definitely reached that age ... even though they're blaming someone else.

Castration claims and denials, considered
Universally, opposition and sympathetic sources claim that Hamza had his penis cut off, severed, removed. That's supported by everyone who says they've seen non-blurred morgue photos or later videos. The available imagery is unclear to me at the moment (more forthcoming on that).

The Amnesty report for one is sure this happened, having seen it, and describes random and crude abuses they heard about and/or saw on video with other returned bodies. 15-year-old Thamer Al-Sharei is one of these, with an alleged eyewitness to part of it (dubious), and video for the aftermath. His morgue photos (see below) bear out their expert's description of a video, looking even worse than it sounds - his cheek is torn open and mouth broken apart by some tool or weapon (a pick-axe perhaps?). In general, these people were abused and mutilated, hopefully after death. Castrating the youngest victim sounds like it would fit right in with such brutal killers, whoever they were. Its' said young Thamer was also "bludgeoned" in the genitals (Amnesty).

So far, I'm finding this claim far more credible than I first expected (I didn't even know there were other detainees before!). But the Syrian official story, read straight as I had been reading it, seems to deny it outright, again skewing my thinking. Coroner Dr. Akram Al-Shaar told state TV “there weren’t any traces of violence, resistance or torture or any kinds of bruises, fractures, joint displacements or cuts" on Hamza's body, backing the claim of the judge presiding over the case.

However, in the video of his presentation, Al-Shaar emphasizes pre-death and post-death injuries, and seemingly includes decay as a type of the latter (a dubious classification). In this way, he seems to suggest anything that looks like torture or mutilation is just from decay, mentioning that a swollen scrotum is one sign of it. That whole portion seems odd and illogical. If this was meant as side-stepping, it didn't come through well, and seems more like clumsy avoidance. 

It could be Al-Shaar's assessment is true, and the others are somehow wrong. But I doubt it. The very morgue photos he's speaking about are said to be as clear as anything on the point, and the way he says everything seems carefully considered, besides strange, only underlining my doubts. I also note he prefaces his account by citing a specific legal code ("the legal oath," as translated, "mentioned in article 41 of the penal code"). That rule might include a reason for his speaking in this way.

Avoidance/denial. What would that mean? Obviously, a cover-up is one possibility. But this is a moment for the thinking cap. Ben Taub writes about "a doctor who had reported that the boy’s penis had been cut off," and who was dismissed by the official investigation as having “misjudged the situation.”  What is this "situation?" Is it medical, or political? These are the options officials would be faced with if they had a castrated 12/13-year-old boy on their hands:
  1. Acknowledge the torture/mutilation and take the credit,
  2. Acknowledge it but claim they found the boy that way, and their "terrorists" must have done it
  3. Try to somehow side-step the issue 
Can you imagine Damascus claiming its "terrorist" boogeymen were not only shooting at soldiers and such, but herding crowds of human shields along with them, and then murdering, castrating, and mutilating even boys during their "mostly peaceful protests"? That would be the peak of absurdity for dictator propaganda, worse than Muammar Gaddafi's ridiculous claims of Captagon-popping Al-Qaeda terrorists behind the killing of protesters and defecting soldiers in Libya, or that NATO intervention would lead to a failed state in Libya and a haven for extremists ... silly dictators. </sarcasm>

No, no one who needs to be convinced would have been. I think the Syrians would rather not make this claim, or have the situation on their hands to begin with. So quite likely, they would choose the last option. It could be they're playing with semantics, for the sake of his family, or to limit public outrage and stoking of tensions, or for whatever reason. The exam says cause of death was gunshots. However it happened, Al-Shaar is careful to say Hamza was alive when this happened, and it could be he meant to say there were no other injuries when he was shot. Re-assembled, he'd be saying the boy died quickly and suffered no torture. So If his body had any cuts, it was mutilation after the fact.

But verbally, he's quite clear it didn't have any cuts prior to his exam. That seems possibly deceptive. But we should note this is for the general public inside Syria and to the world outside - people who, it could be said, didn't need to know all these details. Who really would need to know? The legal authorities investigating the case, and the boy's family. Maybe it was under duress, but Hamza's uncle said on state TV (see here, subtitles via CC), after meeting with President Assad: 
"We do not care about foreign media. What we care about is to get the truth, and to get it correct and complete. We have received martyr Hamza's body from the national hospital in Daraa and everything has been documented in the doctor (medical) report, which is now in the attorney general's office, and we have a copy of it." 
Hamza's father, Ali al-Khatib, is present and seems to agree with all that's said. They don't seem to feel that any relevant details were omitted in this report that actually matters to them.

(note: some explain statements like these as created by regime pressure - an activist told Al-Jazeera how Ali's wife (so either Hamza's mother or maybe the second wife) told him they were threatened to blame Jihadists or else. But I haven't seen anywhere he did blame jihadists, or anyone ... nonetheless, the activist might be onto something there.)

Update, May 25: One comments under a sub-post spurred me to look closer and form an opinion here. The little bean bag I though they had his injury covered with is his scrotum, swollen. At the top is a small curved shape, separate. It could almost be the head of a penis with the scrotum swelled around it, but more likely a testicle poking out through a cut in the scrotum. That would support a cutting injury there, and leave no penis visible. That could actually be just hidden, but there's a cut here, so ... I stand by the basic idea - Dr. Al-Shaar seems to be inaccurate, on this point.

Date of Death and the Dubious Reality of Hamza's Detention
This is the most important part and closely related to the troubling questions above. The main proof most people need that Hamza was ever a prisoner is that the government possessed his body last before returning it to his parents. "Returned" is taken to mean he was first taken away by the government, but there are actually other options. Officially, he died on April 29, before the government touched his body.

Just in case someone might realize that and wonder ... there were also unverified claims that Hamza, along with others, was definitely arrested in broad daylight by a certain branch of Syria's Mukhabarat, or intelligence services. People saw these arrests and can say how many there were, but as far as I know none of it was videotaped, and we're left with verbal stories.

And the opposition claims proof at the other end,  that he was killed only after a prolonged detention. They couldn't at first know just when he was killed, ut they seemed sure he was alive and suffering up to the very end - the 24th of May or so, is consistently implied. As noted, his alleged gravestone at least gives a date of May 25 (perhaps meaning burial date). That's 1-4 days after his family had the dead body back in their hands. His VDC entry gives April 29, but they probably don't mean it (it usually means date of identification, but here they'd say it's date of arrest).

"Abu Hamza" vs. morgue photos
Alleged fellow prisoner "Abu Hamza al-Doumani" (meaning father of Hamza, from Douma - who took his pseudonym from the boy in honor) claims to illustrate nearly the entire detention of little Hamza, in a patently ludicrous account, given its own space here to fail in its full glory. He clashes with the photo evidence even as he scrambles to explain it, even up to explaining the apparent weight gain between little Hamza and dead Hamza: 10-12 liters of fluid the torturers poured in his mouth, swelling his body, right before they castrated him, and then shot him 3 times, while "Abu Hamza" watched helplessly through an open door. It was because the 13-year-old pissed on Assad's portrait when asked to accept him as God. This account is so obviously fictitious it can be taken as casting doubt on the whole notion. This is what they came up with to fill in the gap? It's pathetic.

Doumani's account is not clear on when that bizarre killing was, but the news agency (al-Arabiya?) was apparently told the witness spent about "a  month" with the heroic Hamza, at branch 248 prison in Damascus. He was there after two apparently swift transfers following an April 29 arrest, and Doumani says the boy was already there when he arrived. "I recognized him on first sight," he says, strangely. From this to death even being rounded-up to "one month," all fitting before May 24, means, again, Hamza was alive for the longest span possible. He spent 11 days alone hanging from the ceiling by his wrists, alongside "Abu Hamza." Then he was puffed up with fluids and darkened with green patches and killed right at the end.

The morgue photos are available now for visual clues. By these, he has no wrist marks from his 11 days hanged by them. They show he had apparently chugged 10-12 liters of sugary fluids every few days, voluntarily, for some time, and no special amount the day he died. And they show he was at least briefly dead, overweight, and not yet dark or bloating.

These photos thus are important evidence and could help set the date. But these passed through the hands of the defector "Caesar," and so we can presume it's the same as the rest - the meta-data proving the date has disappeared (and could be fake if it was there anyway).

So ... April 29 at least remains in the frame of possibilities. In fact, no half of that day is ruled out. It remains possible he was never arrested, just found that day already dead, and hauled in as an unidentified body, which would be ascribed a number...

About 25 detainees, as expected 
It's said up to 51 civilian captives from the Saida protest were all detained by Air Force Intelligence, who are alleged to be notorious torturers and killers, apparently even of kids and old men. Al-Jazeera's activist claims there were 51 total people taken by them as prisoners, all of them alive. But he doesn't explain how he knows that, and to him, only about 25 total were expected to turn up. He wailed "we received 13 bodies back this week" (up to May 31) and "we're expecting another dozen bodies back in the coming days." That would about 25, and the other half of that 51 total .... no expectations are mentioned.

In the end, about 20-25 wound up killed and handed back; Amnesty's report names 20 taken, killed, and identified. This VDC query lists 23-24 identified victims (24 entries, one may not fit, the rest do). So was that really a guess, or did this activist know in advance roughly how many people the "Mukhabarat" would be killing, or had already killed? He even might have known what tortures were committed. This raises questions about the supposed secret detention. 
 
Caesar photo detainees?
In mid-March, 2015. the Syrian defector code-named Caesar and his allied activist group Syrian National Movement / SAFMCD,  released to the public thousands of facial ID photos from the infamous "Caesar torture photos" files (analysis ongoing in the Fail, Caesar series and important report forthcoming.) This is said to include the photos of Hamza and of child victim Thamer al-Sharei, whose well-known detention helped prove the others, and who in turn were borne out as early prisoner in this massive system. Their morgue photos were first released through the "Caesar" channel, at the same time (March 16) in an exclusive by the well-connected Lebanese daily Zaman al-Wasl, (with sub-links below to fuller photos for each boy)

But as I explain here, they aren't part of the app. 6,700 tortured Mukhabarat prisoners presented at the SAFMCD site. They lack the full code number system, and were not kept secret like those supposedly are - their bodies were handed back, and Hamza's morgue photos were already shown on Syrian state TV in 2011. And having scoured the whole site, I can also say they just don't appear.

Thus, if we take these as part of Caesar's collection at all, they would be part of the "other half" of the photos, including killed soldiers, victims of various attacks, etc. If so, they would seem to be the first examples we've seen.

But then ... the oldest victim, Mahmoud Al-Zoubi - is featured as a prisoner #000 (unknown) of AF intel, from May, 2011! This is explained here, with a run-down of how this story reflects on his death and the rest of the alleged secret prisoners.

Detention vs. Delay
As for the nearly month-long "detention," it could just be a long delay in identifying the body and/or getting it to the family. Dr. al-Shaar claims on state TV that it was simply from being unable to identify the body, with no further explanation why it took so long. As he puts it, the delay was a bit shorter than reported - in the video (1:51) he says Hamza's body was delivered "by Judicial orders" on May 21, 2011 - three days before the opposition side claims. This would follow on an established ID and claim by a family member probably a day or so prior.

But still, that's just 22 vs. 25 days since he was arrested or killed, a rather long delay either way. As noted, it seems it took just about as long or longer with the others. Were they waiting for DNA results? Trying to figure out who even to ask? The exact nature of the ID process and the delay in it remain unclear to me. This could possibly be engineered on the opposition side, somehow misdirecting the investigation or convincing people not to claim the bodies.

It could also just be a more natural delay. But it helped create an impression of Hamza and the others being held for that time. And who wants to just hold onto decaying bodies? Prisoners are what you keep as long as possible, so we're to presume they remained alive for all or most of that time.

One man was only returned June 30 and notes "His family could not identify his corpse because of the mutilation, and had to request DNA testing." Decay might have played in as well by then. Another returned on 4 July is shown, black with decay. Hamza was in better shape than these, but that was a month earlier. In all cases, time has passed since they disappeared on April 29. Some of that was perhaps time since arrest, some of it definitely time after death.

In fact, it might all be time after death, and "activists" might have known all about the killings from the start. See longer, graphic explanation with icky visuals - 9 victims with video all show advanced decay, notably green patches in the torso and near major wounds. This suggests they've each been rotting for a few days in the open, or perhaps several weeks in deep refrigeration. The way they all show it, seemingly worse with each body released,  suggests they probably all died at about the same time, and that time was probably just before their alleged arrests. At the very least, that can't be ruled out.

Motive
And consider this: after the furor over Hamza's killing in late May, what did authorities do? Denied it, tried to limit the damage ... and kept on torturing the rest of the 20-25 victims to death, including 15-year-old Thamer in June, and kept handing the bodies back to the families. It's been said this is their way of advertising the terror message to the families, hoping to frighten the rebellion into submission. But little could their regime pea-brains predict, or ever learn in time ... this would only spark more protests or, actually by then, more fighting as well.

Such brutality only serves the extremist uprising bent on overthrowing the government. Yet, we're to believe, the government itself keeps tossing out these reminders and turning points on a regular basis, constantly failing to notice how it just keeps "backfiring."

People can say "Assad" is just irrational, as they do, and maybe that's so. But straight logic has this to say on the subject: this crime would only benefit the rebel side, so only their side has reasonable motive. They also have some very nasty characters involved, committing crimes that for years went almost totally ignored in the Western media. They have people who will gladly murder and abuse people just to get the regime in trouble and get a Libya-style NATO air force. A year later at the lastest they had people capable of doing the Houla Massacre and passing it off in the West.

And Hamza in particular reminds me of an observation I made here at ACLOS back in 2013. Considering who would be chosen by false-flag snipers to get a regime in trouble - and the same criteria would apply here, especially to the one whose penis they decided to hack off - I noted these will be some clues to watch for:
  1. The target is young, and shows the most promise cut short, by the regime of course.
  2. He might not make good fighter - pudgy, lazy, too young, too old, etc.
  3. Killing the young, weak, and harmless, if it's blamed on the regime, makes the regime look worse, more insane, etc.

Why such a late death?
The rebel story is a bit unclear or illogical on Hamza's date of death - and thus length of detention. They imply it was as long and torturous a captivity as possible, with the murder only near the end, just before hand-over on May 21-24 (disputed). Someone made it so the Wikipedia page has for a long time said  he died on May 25, 2011 - 1-4 days after his family received the body. Even his alleged grave marker cites May 25 as the final date. His burial date should be the 25th, but he was clearly dead some days at least by then. 

For an unknown like this, a range is appropriate, and that range would have to include back to the start of May, April 30, and April 29 - day and night. The opposition's "activists" say he was detained that afternoon, and everything from there should be unknown. But they've excluded that evening, and every day for weeks after, as a time when he was killed. So how did they rule that out? They couldn't.

Okay, eventually, there was the account of "Abu Hamza Al-Doumani" who spent "a month" (rounded-up) with Hamza in prison. Maybe he had already told them back then his bizarre story. More likely, someone else concoted some reason to presume a late death just because that made the best story. Also, they may have been trying to push the date past his birthday (not that I can see just why), and I think they were reflexively pushing the date as far away as possible from their last contact with Hamza. 

Why? Maybe because at their last contact, they shot him dead, along with some others, hastily mutilated their bodies, and then fled.  

This is what the Syrian government would probably have said if they didn't have to be so careful about what they say. From all I've seen in my studies so far, I suspect this is what happened. What the other side says could be paraphrased "No way could Hamza have been killed, died, or even been injured at all on that day. He was chubby, couldn't run, and clearly was just nabbed, and every bit of this abuse was done deliberately, by those guys, way later on ..."

video-photo comparative analysis 
(noting any differences in injuries, state of decay, or otherwise that constitutes a clue - not done yet, but I think we'll find the videos first shown all over the world show a significant degree of decay relative to the morgue photos.)

A crop from Zaman al-Wasl's compiled graphic for Hamza. As seen on (???)
#23, underline, nothing. Notes later.


Again, as famously seen in late May:

a less-seen video shows  clearer color... actual green decay, probably from his chest wound - a little unsettling how the same exact 23 card, or a perfect forgery, is plastered to the boy's side with what seems his own blood - more notes later)

First thoughts, to be refined: If this body had been left out in the elements in the spring or summer, I'd say about 2-3 days 3-4 days has passed between the photos and the videos. But with refrigeration involved, as it would be, I don't know ... death could stretch a week further, 2-3 weeks, back to April 29 (not an expert). There's no reason to put it any earlier, but if there were some reason, even a bit earlier might be possible.

So far it seems hard to prove, but I suspect the Syrian official story is true on this point - those morgue photos Hamza was already dead before were taken the night of the 29th. All abuse were prior to these photos, or any contact with the authorities.

The Day's Events
(Extremist) Opposition vs. Government Version vs. Mine

The set-up for the murky events
As usual, there are two broad narratives of events, but they both agree the incident was at least near to the military housing complex on the east edge of the town of Saida (as labeled, here on Wikimapia).

So far, I know of verbal accounts of the events. I'll dig later to see if any of it was captured on video by the hundreds of activists, and see if anything can be learned from that
I've located some video and have a good start analyzing it, here at ACLOS.  I'll post a summary here in time, maybe beneath the conflicting narratives, to let us compare.
...
Amnesty International's 2011 report Deadly Detention (PDF link) PDF report, explains from activists and "people close to the family" of Hamza al-Khatib how he "joined many hundreds of people from al-Jeeza and other villages around Dera’a in peaceful marches towards the city (of Deraa) in a symbolic attempt to break the blockade". As they happened to pass what seems like one random spot along the way, the report continues, "the protesters" paused and demonstrated there and "were attacked by Syrian security forces, who reportedly shot at them near the Saida military compound and arrested several hundred people." [2]

(To check: several hundred vs. 51 vs. 20... general arrests vs. AF Intel special ones?)

An eyewitness in another group told Amnesty that he and some 20 others, including 72-year-old Mahmoud al-Zoubi (al-Zu’bi), were in a van that happened to find itself "in the middle of the protest" as it was forming near "an area called Saida Military Residences, a housing complex for military personnel." For whatever unexplained reason, the protest had slowed up here, or come to a stop - was this the actual destination? It was never specified as the last stop, or the site of the "blockade" they wanted to break. But it could be related - they might have signs and messages directed at servicemembers' family: "ask your dad why...".

People were waving olive branches, Amnesty heard, and chanting "peaceful, peaceful." None of them ever opened fire or had any weapons, but then some chanted “Allahu akhbar!” and "a soldier called back “Chant for your own souls” and a minute later shooting suddenly began." 

The other version... Syrian state TV reports explained how people began to gather in different villages of Daraa province after Friday Prayer on the 29th, in response to "calls for Jihad," and the collected people than "set off toward the military housing compound in Said (Saida) area," apparently as the planned destination. “At that time, armed members showed up among the crowd and succeeded in misleading many young children into going with them to fire at the compound’s guards whose chief was martyred,” the report continues. The opposition VDC cites pro-government dampress.net to list what's likely this chief guard - corporal Rawad Mohsen Deeb, age 26, from Tartous, killed by shooting in Daraa.

State TV aired the account of Abdel Aziz Al-Khateeb, who claimed to be a close friend (not relative) of Hamza's (video: appears a bit old to be close buddies with a 13-year-old, but okay, maybe). Al-Khateeb says he joined Hamza and some others, including people from al-Mseifra and Bosra/Busrah. "We headed to the military residences in Saida accompanied by armed men," he says (as translated). He also mentions they had been equipped with "sharp arms" handed out by a local blacksmith. "As we reached there, some demonstrators opened fire toward the compound injuring one soldier. Later, there was a heavy fire exchange and we had to hide behind trees." 

Opposition members showing up at military housing with guns and custom-crafted blades would be an extremely provocative move, in context. Twelve days earlier and a ways north, in Homs, a brigadier-general of the Alawite faith was stopped on the road, where he was driving his teenage son and his two teenage nephews (all around 15-17, by the way, not 12.) All four were murdered, the son's head perhaps run over, and the bodies were mutilated with blades. (see Tellawi Family Massacre, April 17, 2011)

Military Alawites at least, and their civilian kin, were considered by some as fair game for killing. And here were others who might be operating on those rules ... near houses where military families of all faiths were headquartered, with wives and daughters included. This plus shooting at the guards fatally, and threatening to perhaps overrun the place, is a good way to get shot. And of course this is the Syrian official narrative, which might that even if it weren't true.

The fatal round-up
The middle part is unclear. In the opposition story, we have some people (mostly men, possible attackers) killed by army gunfire, and other protesters being chased, cornered, maybe shot down, and somehow arrested. It seems at least 25 men and boys total wound up secretly detained/disappeared at this time, and just that many came back later as murdered. Hamza's cousin told al-Jazeera "People were killed and wounded, some were arrested. It was chaotic we didn't know at that point what had happened to Hamza. He just disappeared." 

Amnesty's van witness says everyone jumped out when shooting started, and took cover. Maybe the van was disabled, so they tried to run, but the elderly Mahmoud al-Zoubi at least was too slow and was arrested (later, he was ofcourse brutally killed. In fact, seven al-Zoubis, aged 17-72, were among the 20 captured this day and then murdered, according to the Amnesty report. Was Mahmoud's slowness from age, or just something that runs in the family? What do we really know about these families?)

In the government's version, it's just about as murky, other than to say there was a clash and Hamza's body at least was found inside the housing complex, in just the shape they handed it over, except way fresher. All else, they seem fairly quiet about. So to help show how it might have happened, here's one scenario I have to propose myself:

Amid the intense and confusing gunfire, Hamza and other innocent and vulnerable types were urged to follow certain strangers among the armed men to safety, maybe in one group or in 2-4 smaller groups. Instead they were led to somewhere out of view, behind some abandoned building nearby, where they were somehow murdered, perhaps just gunned down, tied up first, or whatever, depending on the evidence.

The shots would blend in to what I imagine was insanely loud and prolonged gunfire someone decided should keep going. A guard at each end would help keep witnesses away. And then, most likely, the killers mutilated the bodies before they left the scene. The "regime torture" was done, and now it was just a wait for the "secret detention" to play out and the proof to be handed back and revealed to the world.

Perhaps the killers brought the victims in and killed them there, but most likely, the killing spot would be outside the guarded compound. Either they somehow weaseled inside dumped the bodies there, or they were actually just found nearby, with that part of the official story added for some reason (for example, to prove an intent to enter the compound, they say everyone who was shot shot in fact did enter).  

Or simpler yet, in a sense ... these people were pre-selected, abducted that morning or whenever, murdered and hastily mutilated, driven to the "protest" site in one of their vans, and simply dumped at the best spot. That sounds less plausible to me, but who knows? 

The clean-up
Later in the day, in the opposition's version, the 20-51 detainees were trucked to the prison at Mezzeh airport, presumably, and booked with the ID numbers, to start their final weeks of hell.

In the other version(s), the scene of the incident was secured, all armed men had fled, and a number of murdered and mutilated bodies were discovered. Judge Samer Abbas told Syrian TV “At a late hour on Friday 29/4/2011, we were informed by the (coroner's office) that body (of an) unidentified boy was in the hospital.” By morgue photos leaked in 2015, child victim Thamer al-Sharei was ascribed number 12, and Hamza was given #23, perhaps meaning unidentified bodies, and suggesting at least 12 bodies were processed in this same evening.

I definitely lean towards the official story for this part. I suspect they had about 25 such bodies on their hands that night.

Compared to the Video Record
(forthcoming - for now, feel free to compare that to the video analysis here at ACLOS) (or for most recent take, see the report.)

Sunday, June 12, 2016

Mahmoud Al-Zoubi: #CaesarPhotos Victim Profile

Mahmoud Al-Zoubi: #CaesarPhotos Victim Profile
May 7, 2016
(incomplete) 
Last edits June 12

Matching Sheikh Mahmoud Al-Zoubi
As far as I know, this is my own original identification (match-up), although the victim is mildly famous, and I wouldn't be surprised if someone else has noted it somewhere. Alleged Air Force intelligence torture victim j-000 (no #) from 5-2011 folder. This elderly man has a unique face with distinct pattern of marks, flattened nose and eyelids, etc. The killers apparently left him face down somewhere before the photo was taken.

It should be noted hardly any entries from 2011 appear in the photo catalog at SAFMCD. As I compiled these here at ACLOS, he's  perhaps the earliest entry (one of 2 in the 5-2011 folder with none earlier and, as I'll explain, he probably died and was photographed just before May began.)

I've been studying the 2011 'Saida Massacre,' that claimed the life of 13-year-old Hamza Al-Khatib among others (events and boy re-considered together here) In the course of this, I ran across this video of one victim: Tortured martyr Mahmoud Abdulrahman Al Zoubi of Al-Musayfirah 23/5/2011. I instantly recognized him as looking just like J-000.
 
Comparing the images, I confirmed these must be the one and the same man.  His nose distortion is perhaps different, but there are the same uneven lips and teeth, same beard and eyebrows with same light and dark patches, and the same dark micro-injuries on the face (below left eye, above right eye, etc.) Amnesty International's report (PDF) mentions "There were reportedly marks on his face that looked like cigarette burns." We can skip "reportedly." Also note the forehead tape with unclear writing (see below) - the blur on the right follows the curve of that big 'backwards C' we can see in the unblurred video view on the left.

The video allows more views of unclear injuries to the right knee and left hand, and small stab wounds in the top of his head, with glimpses of bone inside. That's some sophisticated "torture," huh? These aren't clearly fatal, but nothing else seen fits the bill either.

This is Mahmoud Ahmad Abdulrahman, 73, the oldest victim of the "Saida Massacre" (up to 52 victims - see full victim list/table here at ACLOS) - 24 by "shooting," 28 arrested or bodies taken). He's listed in Amnesty International's report as Mahmoud Abd al-Rahman al-Zu’bi, aged 72. So combined, he should be Mahmoud Ahmed Abdulrahman Al-Zoubi, probably 73. Either way, he seems to be the oldest among the men and boys arrested from the protest April 29, including Hamza al-Khatib - all taken alive, we heard, and only killed later, with plenty of time to think it through and with unhinged brutality anyway.

How and when he died
Activists say...
So, check the back-story - they say it's airtight. Sheikh Mahmoud has more story than most. Activist told Amnesty International he and 20 others were in a van, apparently at the head of the column. When the shooting started, everyone jumped out and hid in the orchards. After 20 minutes of shooting, it became lighter and more sporadic. At this point, the report says: 
  "...the eyewitness and others hiding near him, including Mahmoud al-Zu’bi, started consulting each other on how to escape and decided to take it in turns to run away between the shooting. However, he then saw the soldiers approaching them so all of those remaining started running towards some nearby bushes. Mahmoud al-Zu’bi was apparently unable to escape due to his advanced years. The eyewitness learned later that he had been arrested that day..." 
The witness said they didn't see the sheikh arrested, because it was behind them as they were running away. That makes sense. 

The image is of security forces running around after people like they're chasing chickens, grabbing the belts or shirt collars of the slow, maybe shooting the feet from beneath the faster ones, arresting everyone they could after the ambush. This is the accepted version, by the human rights professionals - this is how he, Hamza, and the rest were first taken in.

Video record and alternate theory
However, we should note the video record does not support that (see here at ACLOS). The main video, Vid1, covers over 35 minutes of the incident, with unknown segments cut out. In fact sunlight angles suggest it runs over 2 hours, from around 2:10 to 4:10 PM. At no point do we see soldiers come out of the base to arrest anyone. They might have swarmed out later on, or in one of the cut parts (but why?). And at about 2 hours, there was plenty of time before that to escape the danger zone on foot. Consider the scene maps at ACLOS and the views below - top view is looking back east, the way they came, and bottom is looking west towards the base full of soldiers and their families.  West, more shooting worries: people abandoned vehicles and hid. East, not so much. 

The van is probably the furthest out to the west, seen on the shoulder just past the compound's main gate,  just off frame in the bottom view. But they could creep further out into the orchards, then back east to the safer zone and re-join the 1.5 km-long caravan at that point and get a ride back to safety. It's a long creep, but every bit of it would get you closer to safety. 

Instead, we hear, everyone was waiting for a long time to even start moving, about 20 minutes, and then shortly after were left running from and getting nabbed by invisible soldiers like there was no other choice. I say invisible because no one is seen crossing that red line and moving remotely in the direction of the people cowering to the left of frame.But of course, the activist claims he saw them, so ... the evidence conflicts on the invisibility issue.


Video evidence wins such conflicts, and invisible soldiers don't exist, so ... anyone detained in the first 35 minutes to two hours of this murky incident would probably be seized by someone among the hundreds of "protesters" that had swarmed all over the area. 

Consider: was it just slowness that let Mahmoud get arrested, or something that runs in the family? He was just one of 16 men and boys named Al-Zoubi who were killed in the massacre (per the table linked above) - about 1/3 of the total number. (Amnesty only lists 20 detainees, including only 7 al-Zoubis.) Of those 16, eight are listed as arrested/bodies taken and perhaps tortured, and eight as simply shot, with rebels retrieving the bodies. The other Zoubis were aged 17-70, mostly in their 20s and 30s, and no reason to all be slow. It's a common name, and relationships aren't clear, but this might suggest targeting, for unknown reasons. 
 
My working theory is this - the victims were all pre-selected as sacrificial lambs and encouraged to come along. The chubby kid is included - perfect. Then when the shooting started (probably triggered by the opposition side, from one of the nearby buildings they had already occupied), they hid off the road, behind trees, and maybe inside buildings like the rest. Some of the hardcore Muslim Brotherhood guys there took the victims aside, maybe in a couple of groups, and shot them dead. 

Some - about half - were claimed and taken away, along with anyone actually shot by the compound's defenders during the murky "clashes." The rest were mutilated as "tortured detainees" and left behind with no ID and maybe no clothes. These bodies would be found somewhere in the area after the clashes, and documented by the forces of order.  If they were unidentified victims, they might get ID numbers - like 4, 10, 12, 22, 23, 28 ... all seen on the returned bodies, for an incident with a total of maybe 28 "tortured detainees" (see table). 
  
All these were seen on video because the bodies were handed over to families, instead of disappeared. They all show signs of decay, moderate to serious (see analysis of the "green torso torture" - graphic). They were clearly held for several weeks, but with good refrigeration, they might have been dead the entire time. In the May 23 video, sheikh Al-Zoubi's body appears less pink and more gray than we see in the morgue photo, but looks better than most - the green is worse with others and gets worse over time, suggesting all these victims had died long before acknowledged, and all at about the same time - likely just before their alleged arrests. 

Damascus or Deraa?
The "Caesar photos" are said to all be from military hospitals 601 or Tishreen, in Damascus. Mahmoud is included, but he and the rest were arrested/killed in Deraa, and handed back to family there. It's said, by the absurd "Abu Hamza" that little Hamza Al-Khatib - who also disappeared and re-appeared in Deraa - was transferred to and killed in Damascus in between. So presumably the old man and everyone else was too. Mahmoud got a special transfer to get stabbed in the head as close to president Assad as possible, and Hamza got to piss on Assad's portrait and laugh at his torturers before he was killed, right there in the capitol (again, see "Abu Hamza"). 

As compelling as that logic might be, it's all unlikely. They were probably all killed in Deraa on April 29, and dead bodies would probably stay there, presumably close to unidentified family. There's no reason to transfer a corpse back and forth like that. And even if they were held and killed, there's no clear reason to send it to the capitol first.

In May?
I think he died April 29, so if the "Caesar photos" folder for May, 2011 starts on 1 May and only includes photos from then and after, as seems to be the usual pattern, then I suspect it was put here falsely. That would be to support the idea the people were killed in May, mostly late in the month, or even later, knowing this victim would be recognized eventually.


Other visual clues
The valuable video of sheikh Al-Zoubi's body (a copy is saved here) shares other visual evidence. Supposedly official paperwork is held-up, read out and maybe commented on - translation, possibly, in time. 

Before that, they show his ID card, which is interesting. If he were an unidentified body, as I suspect, the government didn't have this card. Most people would carry it on them, but he must have left his at home for activists to later have it to show on video? Or did they take it from him right before they killed him? Or, did the government have it the whole time after his arrest after all, and handed it back with his body, belying their claim to not know who that was? Why belie? 

Most victims seen after return are documented with an index card, somehow adhered to the body (usually the chest), with a small number written on it. This is strange. Hamza's at least, however, seems to be the same one used in his morgue photos. Sheikh Al-Zoubi is unusual in having his numbers written on what seems to be tape instead of a card, and he has such writing on both his forehead and chest, shown at right.

chest: pretty hard to make out yet, no clear view.  Not even sure if that's all numbers, letters, or what... (some effort maybe later)

Forehead, also unclear/indecipherable. On the right is not J (  ج ) for AF intel, but maybe the letters for Z or R sound  ( ر-  ز ). The little circle above, unclear if separate ... On the left, a symbol like the Greek pi - It's not a number or letter I recognize. Between, a Roman letter V or #7 in Eastern Arabic, with another circle inside it. (or an 8, if upside-down, also with an extra circle...)

Is this why the SAFMCD left him as victim #000? Even they couldn't decipher this mess? Is it even legit, or placed by activists once the body was returned? Or before it was even taken? The morgue photo suggests it was there shortly after death anyway. 

Later note, June 12: ACLOS member TogetherSy (see here) notes the forehead tape is jumbled - that could be a 7 or and 8 originally, but with garbage added. TS does note if rotated 180 degrees, it comes out as a sloppy rendition of the relevant date - 23/5/2011 (I can see this, once it's pointed out). So that might explain the mess there. Here's the explanation: with slashes and underlines in black, 23 in red, 5 in purple, 2011 in blue. The apparent original number is in green. By vertical centering and logic, I think it's upside down here and was a 7. It would be underlined to clarify that, and that underline became part of the super-deformed 3. Weird. But what else can it be? 

Opposition Narrative
June 12 update: Thanks to TogetherSy, we have a translation of the video (see here). Summarized a bit, the activists with the sheikh's ID card and access to his body say:
This man with grey hair, who is over 72 years old, was arrested in the act of reading Quran while he was on his way to Daraa, to break the siege [imposed] on his people there. And the massacre of Saida happened on 4/29/2011 and he lost his life due to torture [inflicted] by the hands of this unjust regime & its people. Don't they feel shy from his grey hair? Don't they think? And till when will this oppression [last]? These are the reforms promised by Bashar Al-Assad!
... He doesn't kneel but to Allah and it was asked of him to kneel to the photograph of Bashar Al-Assad, but he refused and was killed for that.
... (he was tortured) under electricity, by sticks, with electric batons - these burns by cigarettes and electricity and the beatings on the head and feet until he was killed. We ask [Allah] to grant him martyrdom and thanks to Allah the lord of all.

TS notes "The narration is an agitation message delivered in a religious sermon style. The narrator mimics the style & tone of mosque preachers in Friday prayers." Indeed, the content is just as Islamist-leaning. Mahmoud, the oldest identified victim, was ordered to kneel to a photo of Assad but fatally refused? That's just what "Abu Hamza" says about little Hamza (the youngest victim) ... and about what another guy said about the second-youngest, Thamer Al-Sharei. Huh. 


TS also passes on the document's contents:
From 0:17 till 00:58 a photocopy of a hand written paper claimed to be the report of the forensic department in the hospital of Daraa is presented. Most of the paper is not clear, but the photographer is interested in only showing the photocopied stamp of the Forensic Department in Daraa Hospital which is in the lower left corner of the paper along with an indiscernible signature of a doctor & the date 23 May 2011. Then he focuses on the lower right corner that bears the words: "photo copy of the original" under the red stamp of the hospital. It is noticeable that there should be the signature of the person authenticating the photocopy of the document along with the stamp, but here it is lacking.
The photographer then shows us the last line of the paper, which [surprisingly] reads:
    سبب الوفاة توقف القلب (الناتج): التالي لشدة نفسية ناجمة عن العنف والتعذيب
    Heart arrest due to psychological distress caused by violence and "torture". [A phrase opposition members always claim that regime hospitals never issue to them]
The document claims heart attack as the cause of death, which makes sense; as noted, there aren't any visible wounds that are likely to be fatal. 

It's well worth noting this is almost the template for the general Caesar photos narrative - taken and tortured to death, but given papers blaming a simple heart attack. Except here, they say it was heart attack from torture. Why admit it? They'd say they weren't admitting it, and they found him already dead after the abuses. But the activists here are clear he was tortured by them, and this is a direct admission of the fact. 

Either way, it's quite possible that this episode, and Mahmoud's case in particular, might be where "Caesar" or whoever first got the idea to produce and document a few thousand such victims.


Questions re-answere
Some evidence is available and some is missing, but so far we can piece together an unusually clear picture for this one Caesar Photos secret detainee.

When was he detained?
Allegedly: the afternoon of April 29, 2011. Quite likely: never, by the government.

How was he arrested? 
Allegedly, from the middle of a protest at the military housing complex, when security forces overran it. Really, since that's not seen on video, he was probably arrested killed from the middle of the same "protest," by some of the "protesters." 

When was he killed? 
under question - folder suggests anytime in May, family has body May 23, I think April 29. Evidence and logic combine to suggest the latter.

How was he killed?
This isn't clear. The small stab wounds in the top of the head are likely not fatal. The document says heart attack, caused by the shock of torture (so that was done when alive, not post-death mutilation). This seems likely enough. The activists seemed to buy it.

Where was he buried?
This is an issue of some interest - it's said the bodies are burned away in an incinerator, or buried at a government-run cemetery north of Damascus. In this case, we'd have to ask his family, or dig for a video of the burial and geolocate it. He's not a secret detainee, and was handed over, albeit with the same strange delay all these people had. Most others probably were handled by the government, so this case may not shed much light on the question. 

What does this case say about the rest of the victims?
The facts of his case are in dispute, and he's an outlying case anyway, so the relevance isn't clear. But to the extent their stories might be something like his, let's recap what his story is most likely to be; 

a person killed and tortured/mutilated by terrorists, before he was found by government forces, stripped of ID. The inevitability of their taking the body and having to return it to family, but with a delay, means a chance to call it all detention and torture by them. This is exactly what I already suspected for a bulk of the "Caesar photo" victims. And so, this case might be a good illustration after all.  

As noted above, the heart attack claim could be where they originally got the idea to say the "regime" says that for everyone they kill here.

Open Questions:
A question: In the morgue photo, is the sharp light and dark just from photo-flash used in a normal room, or in an extra-dark location? The morgue photos of Hamza and Thamer don't have this effect. Is this even an actual morgue photo, or something else? I'm presuming it's legit, but that's not certain.

Another question: is that one question really worth another section? Maybe there will be 3 questions or more, in time.